Overall verdict
Buy
7.0/10
1-year performance
+8.54%
Score breakdown
Up 8.5% over 1 year, 52% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 9.5/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 5.5/10.
7 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
NMI Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides private mortgage guaranty insurance services in the United States. It provides primary mortgage insurance services; and outsourced loan review services to mortgage loan originators. The company serves national and regional mortgage banks, money center banks, credit unions, community banks, builder-owned mortgage lenders, internet-sourced lenders, and other non-bank lenders. NMI Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Emeryville, California.
Sector
Financials
Industry
Financial Services
Primary listing
Nasdaq
United States
CEO
Adam Pollitzer
Founded
2011
Employees
225
Revenue / employee
3.1M USD
Next earnings
November 2, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.17.05%
- DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP6.03%
- CALIFORNIA STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM4.59%
- STATE STREET CORP4.50%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC4.42%
- AMERICAN CENTURY COMPANIES INC3.94%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC3.75%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.73%
- NOMURA ASSET MANAGEMENT INTERNATIONAL INC.2.43%
- Other institutions50.96%
355 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
46.74 USD
52-week low
34.84 USD
1-year performance
8.54%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
3.58%
Rising
Drawdown
-12.22%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
52% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 13 years, from November 2013 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 2.8 times harder.
10,000 € placed at the end of November 2013 are worth today
| NMI Holdings | 36 757 € |
| World ETF | 44 688 € |
| S&P 500 | 61 196 € |
| Risk-free placement | 10 938 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.8 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-73 % between February 2020 and March 2020. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 2 733 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 52 months.
NMI Holdings earned less than the world ETF since 2013
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of November 2013, dividends reinvested, in euros
- NMI Holdings: 36 757 €
- World ETF: 44 688 €
- S&P 500: 61 196 €
- Risk-free placement: 10 938 €
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 46.83 USD - 117.18 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of -8.73% per year; the company grows at 18.26%.
Net margin 54.1%, ROIC 13.3%, ROE 15.4%.
Net margin
54.10%
Exceptional
Sector 23.12%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
—
Return on equity (ROE)
15.43%
High
Sector 12.03%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
13.27%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
60.43%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.12x
Exceptional
Margin stability
12.8 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
5.7/10Revenue up 8.1% over 1 year, 10.3% a year over 5, EPS 18.3% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
731M USD
Revenue growth (1y)
8.12%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
34.99%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
13.75%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
18.26%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
2.67%
Revised up
Valuation
8.1/10P/E 8.1x, forward P/E 7.7x, PEG 0.44. The multiple sits in the 66th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
8.1x
Fair
Sector 11.1x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
7.7x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
—
Sector 15.4x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
0.44
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.31|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
82.00 USD
Deeply undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 34% highest valuations
Pricier than usual
Market cap
3.2Md USD
Cash covers 3.9% of the debt, gearing 12.8%.
Net debt / EBITDA
—
Gearing (net debt / equity)
12.79%
Stretched
Cash
16.5M USD
Cash / market cap
0.52%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
3.94%
Stretched
Net debt
346M USD
Equity
2.7Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 41.57 USD
- MM2043.75
- MM5044.01
- MM20040.16
- RSI 1426.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+1.68%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+4.91%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+3.73%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
0.78 % per day
Volatility change
-39.58%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.30 (4) | 5.28 (7) | 755 (4) | — | 404 (6) |
| 2027 | 5.55 (6) | 5.52 (7) | 790 (4) | — | 412 (6) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 22, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 38 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NMIH | 7.0 | 7.7 | 3.2Md USD | 8.1x | 54.1 % | 8.1 % | 13.3 % | — | 13.9 % | 8.5 % | ||
| 2 | RDN | 6.9 | 6.8 | 4.6Md USD | 8.9x | 34.0 % | 92.6 % | 10.7 % | — | 30.4 % | -7.1 % | ||
| 3 | ACT | 6.4 | 6.4 | 6.6Md USD | 10.1x | 54.5 % | 4.1 % | 11.3 % | — | 11.0 % | 23.4 % | ||
| 4 | ESNT | 6.3 | 6.2 | 5.9Md USD | 9.1x | 52.5 % | 13.9 % | 11.0 % | — | 14.0 % | 0.4 % | ||
| 5 | MTG | 6.1 | 6.5 | 6.0Md USD | 9.2x | 59.2 % | -2.9 % | 12.4 % | — | 11.8 % | 1.4 % | ||
| 6 | BAJAJHFL | 5.8 | 6.6 | 7.3Md USD | 25.5x | 23.2 % | 17.1 % | — | 10.0x | — | -26.0 % | ||
| 7 | PFSI | 4.9 | 4.2 | 3.4Md USD | 9.0x | 8.2 % | 0.4 % | 3.9 % | 10.0x | -40.2 % | -46.8 % | ||
| 8 | FNMA | 4.7 | 3.9 | 5.8Md USD | 129.9x | 9.3 % | 2.4 % | 0.4 % | 27.7x | 529.3 % | -65.4 % | ||
| 9 | RKT | 4.2 | 2.9 | 34.4Md USD | 80.8x | 4.9 % | 102.1 % | 1.4 % | 25.1x | -2.2 % | -39.0 % |
