Overall verdict
Neutral
4.3/10
1-year performance
-46.07%
Score breakdown
Down 46.1% over 1 year, 1% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 5.3/10. Weakest: Growth 1.5/10.
8 analysts, target +0.4% vs the price.
PennyMac Financial Services, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in the mortgage banking and investment management activities in the United States. The company operates through two segments, Production and Servicing. The Production segment is involved in the origination, acquisition, and sale of loans.
This segment also sources residential conventional and government-insured or guaranteed mortgage loans through correspondent production, consumer direct lending, and broker direct lending. The Servicing segment performs loan administration, collection, and default management activities, including the collection and remittance of loan payments ; responds to customer inquiries ; provides accounting for principal and interest ;
holds custodial funds for the payment of property taxes and insurance premiums ; offers counseling for delinquent borrowers ; and supervising foreclosures and property dispositions, as well as administers loss mitigation activities comprising modification and forbearance programs, and supervising foreclosures and property dispositions. The company was founded in 2008 and is headquartered in Westlake Village, California.
Sector
Financials
Industry
Financial Services
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
David Spector
Founded
2008
Employees
4 900
Revenue / employee
864 417 USD
Next earnings
October 29, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- MFN Partners Management, LP8.68%
- T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.7.51%
- BlackRock, Inc.4.46%
- DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP4.08%
- DONALD SMITH & CO., INC.3.61%
- Rubric Capital Management LP3.26%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC3.18%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC2.48%
- Invesco Ltd.1.93%
- Other institutions25.17%
- Rest of the register35.65%
228 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
160.36 USD
52-week low
64.57 USD
1-year performance
-46.07%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-50.13%
Declining
Drawdown
-59.29%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
1% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 13 years, from May 2013 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 2.7 times harder.
10,000 € placed at the end of May 2013 are worth today
| PennyMac Financial | 37 555 € |
| World ETF | 47 218 € |
| S&P 500 | 65 880 € |
| Risk-free placement | 10 950 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.7 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-56 % between February 2020 and March 2020. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 4 438 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 3 months.
PennyMac Financial earned less than the world ETF since 2013
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of May 2013, dividends reinvested, in euros
- PennyMac Financial: 37 555 €
- World ETF: 47 218 €
- S&P 500: 65 880 €
- Risk-free placement: 10 950 €
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 137.97 USD - 167.69 USD (comparables only)
Gross margin 86.7%, net margin 17.7%, ROIC 3.9%, ROE 9.4%.
Net margin
17.73%
Fair
Sector 24.02%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
86.65%
High
Return on equity (ROE)
9.38%
Fair
Sector 12.09%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
3.87%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
-28.68%
Negative
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
-1.62x
Low
Margin stability
11.3 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
1.5/10Revenue up 0.4% over 1 year, 0.1% a year over 5, EPS -15.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
2.2Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
0.45%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
55.24%
Strong
EPS growth (1y)
-83.96%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
-14.97%
Declining
EPS revisions (3 months)
-32.66%
Sharply revised down
Valuation
1.6/10P/E 9.0x, forward P/E 12.3x, EV/EBITDA 12.0x, PEG 10.45. The multiple sits in the 30th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
9.0x
Fair
Sector 11.1x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
12.3x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
12.0x
Fair
Sector 15.7x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
10.45
Very expensive
Sector 0.71|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
152.83 USD
Deeply undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 30% lowest valuations
Cheaper than usual
Market cap
3.4Md USD
Cash covers 4.8% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 10.0x.
Net debt / EBITDA
10.0x
Solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
340.06%
Stretched
Cash
749M USD
Cash / market cap
21.96%
Very solid
Cash / total debt
4.83%
Stretched
Net debt
14.7Md USD
Equity
4.3Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 65.26 USD
- MM2069.65
- MM5075.28
- MM20093.94
- RSI 1427.7
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-6.21%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-13.93%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-6.89%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.42 % per day
Volatility change
-28.49%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 5.32 (4) | 7.06 (6) | 2 205 (6) | 640 (2) | 323 (5) |
| 2027 | 11.08 (5) | 10.76 (6) | 2 776 (6) | 969 (2) | 591 (5) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 21, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 38 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RDN | 6.9 | 6.8 | 4.6Md USD | 8.9x | 34.0 % | 92.6 % | 10.7 % | — | 30.4 % | -7.1 % | ||
| 2 | ESNT | 6.3 | 6.2 | 5.9Md USD | 9.1x | 52.5 % | 13.9 % | 11.0 % | — | 14.0 % | 0.4 % | ||
| 3 | ACT | 6.2 | 6.1 | 6.6Md USD | 10.1x | 54.5 % | 4.1 % | 11.3 % | — | 11.0 % | 23.4 % | ||
| 4 | MTG | 6.1 | 6.4 | 6.0Md USD | 9.2x | 59.2 % | -2.9 % | 12.4 % | — | 11.8 % | 1.4 % | ||
| 5 | BAJAJHFL | 5.8 | 6.6 | 7.3Md USD | 25.5x | 23.2 % | 17.1 % | — | 10.0x | — | -26.0 % | ||
| 6 | LICHSGFIN | 5.5 | 6.1 | 3.3Md USD | 5.4x | 20.0 % | -2.0 % | — | 10.0x | — | -3.3 % | ||
| 7 | FNMA | 4.7 | 3.9 | 5.8Md USD | 129.9x | 9.3 % | 2.4 % | 0.4 % | 27.7x | 529.3 % | -65.4 % | ||
| 8 | PFSI | 4.3 | 2.9 | 3.4Md USD | 9.0x | 17.7 % | 0.4 % | 3.9 % | 10.0x | -40.2 % | -46.1 % | ||
| 9 | RKT | 4.2 | 2.9 | 34.4Md USD | 80.8x | 4.9 % | 102.1 % | 1.4 % | 25.1x | -2.2 % | -39.0 % |
