Overall verdict
Neutral
4.3/10
1-year performance
-2.10%
Score breakdown
Down 2.1% over 1 year, 76% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Shareholder return 7.7/10. Weakest: Financial strength 0.2/10.
19 analysts, target -0.0% vs the price.
CarMax, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a retailer of used vehicles and related products in the United States. The company operates in two segments: CarMax Sales Operations and CarMax Auto Finance. The CarMax Sales Operations segment offers customers a range of makes and models of used vehicles, including domestic, imported, and luxury vehicles, as well as hybrid and electric vehicles; wholesale auctions; extended protection plans to customers at the time of sale; and reconditioning and vehicle repair services.
The CarMax Auto Finance segment provides financing alternatives for retail customers across a range of credit spectrum and arrangements with various financial institutions. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Richmond, Virginia.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Specialty Retail
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Keith Barr
Founded
1993
Employees
27 796
Revenue / employee
998 178 USD
Next earnings
September 29, 2026 (Q2 2027)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.11.95%
- CALIFORNIA STATE TEACHERS RETIREMENT SYSTEM5.77%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC5.09%
- AQR CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC4.63%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC4.49%
- SRS Investment Management, LLC4.14%
- TWO SIGMA INVESTMENTS, LP4.08%
- STATE STREET CORP3.60%
- DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP3.48%
- Other institutions61.61%
554 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
65.28 USD
52-week low
30.26 USD
1-year performance
-2.10%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
48.21%
Declining
Drawdown
-12.67%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
76% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did clearly worse than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned less, while shaking 3.1 times harder.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| CarMax | 36 889 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.1 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-80 % between November 2021 and November 2025. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 1 999 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. The share has not returned to its high yet.
CarMax earned less than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- CarMax: 36 889 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 33.12 USD - 35.01 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of -6.89% per year; the company grows at -10.00%.
Gross margin 10.7%, net margin 0.8%, ROIC 0.9%, ROE 3.6%.
Net margin
0.79%
Low
Sector 2.08%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
10.68%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
3.59%
Low
Sector 9.40%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
0.90%
Low
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
3.53%
High
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
4.47x
Exceptional
Margin stability
0.9 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
1.9/10Revenue up 5.5% over 1 year, 6.7% a year over 5, EPS -18.0% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
28.2Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
5.51%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
-10.86%
Declining
EPS growth (1y)
-5.27%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
-18.02%
Declining
EPS revisions (3 months)
0.76%
Revised up
Valuation
3.0/10P/E 37.5x, forward P/E 20.9x, EV/EBITDA 26.7x. The multiple sits in the 97th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
37.5x
Very expensive
Sector 17.7x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
20.9x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
26.7x
Very expensive
Sector 10.7x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
—
Sector 0.65|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
34.07 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 3% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
8.2Md USD
Financial strength
0.2/10Cash covers 3.9% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 18.6x.
Net debt / EBITDA
18.6x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
295.90%
Stretched
Cash
727M USD
Cash / market cap
8.92%
Solid
Cash / total debt
3.86%
Stretched
Net debt
18.1Md USD
Equity
6.1Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 56.36 USD
- MM2060.08
- MM5059.42
- MM20047.71
- RSI 1437.8
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+5.75%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+10.16%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+5.87%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.59 % per day
Volatility change
-42.54%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027 | 2.73 (14) | 2.71 (12) | 27 153 (16) | 962 (8) | 392 (11) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 24, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 62 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MUSA | 7.4 | 7.3 | 9.3Md USD | 15.4x | 2.9 % | 36.0 % | 18.4 % | 2.7x | 5.8 % | 33.1 % | ||
| 2 | UGPA3 | 7.3 | 8.7 | 8.4Md USD | 12.6x | 2.4 % | 21.9 % | 11.3 % | 2.4x | 13.7 % | 81.0 % | ||
| 3 | VBBR3 | 7.3 | 8.2 | 8.9Md USD | 9.5x | 2.5 % | 25.6 % | 11.6 % | 2.9x | 14.4 % | 73.5 % | ||
| 4 | 2207 | 6.3 | 6.6 | 9.1Md USD | 12.6x | 7.6 % | 29.4 % | 25.9 % | 6.3x | 7.8 % | -12.2 % | ||
| 5 | CVNA | 6.0 | 5.6 | 70.4Md USD | 29.7x | 6.3 % | 52.4 % | 18.8 % | 1.3x | 1.3 % | -15.4 % | ||
| 6 | AZO | 5.9 | 5.4 | 46.4Md USD | 18.6x | 12.6 % | 5.6 % | 27.5 % | 2.8x | — | -30.4 % | ||
| 7 | PAG | 5.8 | 5.7 | 13.8Md USD | 15.4x | 2.8 % | 6.0 % | 9.3 % | 6.8x | 3.6 % | 19.0 % | ||
| 8 | ORLY | 5.7 | 5.1 | 69.5Md USD | 27.3x | 14.3 % | 8.1 % | 38.0 % | 2.1x | 3.1 % | -16.8 % | ||
| 9 | KMX | 4.3 | 2.6 | 8.2Md USD | 37.5x | 0.8 % | 5.5 % | 0.9 % | 18.6x | 12.2 % | -2.1 % |
