Overall verdict
Buy
6.5/10
1-year performance
-7.89%
Score breakdown
Down 7.9% over 1 year, 37% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Valuation 8.2/10. Weakest: Financial strength 1.6/10.
15 analysts, target +0.4% vs the price.
Lithia Motors, Inc. operates as an automotive retailer in the United States, the United Kingdom, and Canada. The company operates in two segments, Vehicle Operations and Financing Operations. It offers a range of products and services fulfilling the entire vehicle ownership lifecycle, including new and used vehicles, financing and insurance products, and aftersales automotive repair and maintenance services.
The company provides its products and services through a network of physical locations, e-commerce platforms, captive finance solutions, fleet management offerings, and other synergistic adjacencies. Lithia Motors, Inc. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Medford, Oregon.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Specialty Retail
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Bryan DeBoer
Founded
1946
Employees
30 000
Revenue / employee
1.3M USD
Next earnings
October 21, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- ABRAMS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P.11.56%
- BlackRock, Inc.11.13%
- FMR LLC10.17%
- HARRIS ASSOCIATES L P8.89%
- DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP6.54%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC5.17%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC4.79%
- STATE STREET CORP3.59%
- River Road Asset Management, LLC3.17%
- Other institutions48.75%
443 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
439.49 USD
52-week low
239.78 USD
1-year performance
-7.89%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-8.10%
Declining
Drawdown
-28.73%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
37% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 3.7 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Lithia Motors | 296 192 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 3.7 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-61 % between November 2019 and March 2020. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 3 933 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 4 months.
Lithia Motors earned 4 times as much as the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Lithia Motors: 296 192 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 555.88 USD - 695.55 USD (comparables only)
Gross margin 14.5%, net margin 1.9%, ROIC 4.4%, ROE 10.7%.
Net margin
1.88%
Fair
Sector 2.08%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
14.45%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
10.67%
High
Sector 8.82%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
4.36%
Fair
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
-0.80%
Negative
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
-0.43x
Low
Margin stability
0.9 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.5/10Revenue up 2.2% over 1 year, 23.5% a year over 5, EPS 10.6% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
37.9Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
2.17%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
33.51%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
16.86%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
10.58%
Strong
EPS revisions (3 months)
5.15%
Sharply revised up
Valuation
8.2/10P/E 10.4x, forward P/E 8.9x, EV/EBITDA 8.6x, PEG 0.98. The multiple sits in the 67th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
10.4x
Cheap
Sector 18.3x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
8.9x
Cheap
EV / EBITDA
8.6x
Fair
Sector 10.7x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
0.98
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.65|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
625.72 USD
Deeply undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 33% highest valuations
Pricier than usual
Market cap
6.7Md USD
Financial strength
1.6/10Cash covers 2.3% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 8.1x.
Net debt / EBITDA
8.1x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
251.90%
Stretched
Cash
373M USD
Cash / market cap
5.52%
Tight
Cash / total debt
2.25%
Stretched
Interest coverage
5.6x
Solid
Net debt
16.2Md USD
Equity
6.4Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 309.60 USD
- MM20350.27
- MM50359.68
- MM200313.24
- RSI 1426.5
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+1.57%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+3.57%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+5.82%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.95 % per day
Volatility change
-20.11%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 35.29 (6) | 36.33 (14) | 38 444 (12) | 1 665 (9) | 802 (5) |
| 2027 | 41.62 (6) | 42.65 (14) | 39 831 (12) | 1 783 (9) | 908 (6) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 21, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 62 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MUSA | 7.3 | 7.1 | 9.3Md USD | 15.4x | 2.9 % | 36.0 % | 18.4 % | 2.7x | 5.8 % | 33.1 % | ||
| 2 | UGPA3 | 7.3 | 8.6 | 8.4Md USD | 12.6x | 2.4 % | 21.9 % | 11.3 % | 2.4x | 13.7 % | 81.0 % | ||
| 3 | VBBR3 | 7.3 | 8.1 | 8.9Md USD | 9.5x | 2.5 % | 25.6 % | 11.6 % | 2.9x | 14.4 % | 73.5 % | ||
| 4 | LAD | 6.5 | 5.9 | 6.7Md USD | 10.4x | 1.9 % | 2.2 % | 4.4 % | 8.1x | -4.5 % | -7.9 % | ||
| 5 | 2207 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 9.1Md USD | 12.6x | 7.6 % | 29.4 % | 25.9 % | 6.3x | 7.8 % | -12.2 % | ||
| 6 | CVNA | 6.0 | 5.5 | 70.4Md USD | 29.7x | 6.3 % | 52.4 % | 18.8 % | 1.3x | 1.3 % | -15.4 % | ||
| 7 | AZO | 5.9 | 5.4 | 46.4Md USD | 18.6x | 12.6 % | 5.6 % | 27.5 % | 2.8x | — | -30.4 % | ||
| 8 | ORLY | 5.7 | 5.1 | 69.5Md USD | 27.3x | 14.3 % | 8.1 % | 38.0 % | 2.1x | 3.1 % | -16.8 % | ||
| 9 | PAG | 5.7 | 5.5 | 13.8Md USD | 15.4x | 2.8 % | 6.0 % | 9.3 % | 6.8x | 3.6 % | 19.0 % |
