Overall verdict
Neutral
6.1/10
1-year performance
+19.44%
Score breakdown
Up 19.4% over 1 year, 79% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.0/10. Weakest: Growth 2.8/10.
10 analysts, target +0.0% vs the price.
Penske Automotive Group, Inc., a diversified transportation services company, operates automotive and commercial truck dealerships in the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Italy, Japan, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Retail Automotive, Retail Commercial Truck, Other, and Non-Automotive Investments. The company operates franchise dealerships under franchise agreements with various automotive manufacturers and distributors.
It is also involved in the sale of new and used vehicles, maintenance and repair services, sale and placement of third-party finance and insurance products, third-party extended service and maintenance contracts, replacement and aftermarket automotive products, collision repair services, and wholesale of parts. In addition, the company operates a heavy and medium duty truck dealership, which offers Freightliner and Western Star branded trucks, as well as offers a range of used trucks.
Further, it imports and distributes Western Star heavy-duty trucks, MAN heavy and medium duty trucks and buses, and Dennis Eagle refuse collection vehicles with associated parts, as well as distributes diesel and gas engines, and power systems. Penske Automotive Group, Inc. was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Bloomfield Hills, Michigan. Penske Automotive Group, Inc. operates as a subsidiary of Penske Corporation, Inc.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Specialty Retail
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Roger Penske
Founded
1990
Employees
27 700
Revenue / employee
1.1M USD
Next earnings
October 28, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.3.54%
- DIMENSIONAL FUND ADVISORS LP2.50%
- VICTORY CAPITAL MANAGEMENT INC2.49%
- BANK OF MONTREAL /CAN/1.25%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC1.21%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC1.16%
- LSV ASSET MANAGEMENT1.03%
- CHARLES SCHWAB INVESTMENT MANAGEMENT INC0.96%
- STATE STREET CORP0.95%
- Other institutions13.01%
- Rest of the register71.91%
394 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
227.00 USD
52-week low
140.12 USD
1-year performance
19.44%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
31.85%
Rising
Drawdown
-8.01%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
79% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 2.8 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Penske Automotive | 141 960 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.8 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-63 % between December 2016 and March 2020. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 3 746 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 10 months.
Penske Automotive earned more than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Penske Automotive: 141 960 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Share price without dividends; the world ETF and the index reinvest theirs. A dividend payer is therefore understated here.
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 205.00 USD - 225.00 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 9.25% per year; the company grows at 15.94%.
Gross margin 15.6%, net margin 2.8%, ROIC 9.3%, ROE 15.6%.
Net margin
2.81%
Exceptional
Sector 1.88%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
15.61%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
15.64%
Exceptional
Sector 8.82%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
9.29%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
1.56%
Low
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.56x
Low
Margin stability
1.0 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
2.8/10Revenue up 6.0% over 1 year, 9.2% a year over 5, EPS 15.9% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
31.8Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
5.98%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
14.36%
Moderate
EPS growth (1y)
-1.65%
Declining
EPS CAGR (5y)
15.94%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
1.73%
Revised up
Valuation
6.5/10P/E 15.4x, forward P/E 15.3x, EV/EBITDA 12.9x, PEG 0.96. The multiple sits in the 92th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
15.4x
Fair
Sector 18.3x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
15.3x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
12.9x
Expensive
Sector 10.7x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
0.96
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.65|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
210.00 USD
Fairly priced
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 8% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
13.8Md USD
Financial strength
2.9/10Cash covers 0.7% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 6.8x.
Net debt / EBITDA
6.8x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
159.46%
Stretched
Cash
69.5M USD
Cash / market cap
0.50%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
0.74%
Stretched
Interest coverage
26.6x
Very solid
Net debt
9.3Md USD
Equity
5.8Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 207.97 USD
- MM20215.40
- MM50215.31
- MM200177.47
- RSI 1433.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+3.41%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+8.07%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+6.71%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
0.61 % per day
Volatility change
-63.75%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 13.65 (5) | 13.61 (8) | 32 805 (7) | 1 570 (4) | 883 (4) |
| 2027 | 14.18 (5) | 14.39 (9) | 33 584 (8) | 1 611 (5) | 924 (5) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 2, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 62 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MUSA | 7.3 | 7.2 | 9.3Md USD | 15.4x | 2.9 % | 36.0 % | 18.4 % | 2.7x | 5.8 % | 33.1 % | ||
| 2 | UGPA3 | 7.3 | 8.7 | 8.4Md USD | 12.6x | 2.4 % | 21.9 % | 11.3 % | 2.4x | 13.7 % | 81.0 % | ||
| 3 | VBBR3 | 7.3 | 8.2 | 8.9Md USD | 9.5x | 2.5 % | 25.6 % | 11.6 % | 2.9x | 14.4 % | 73.5 % | ||
| 4 | 2207 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 9.1Md USD | 12.6x | 7.6 % | 29.4 % | 25.9 % | 6.3x | 7.8 % | -12.2 % | ||
| 5 | PAG | 6.1 | 5.6 | 13.8Md USD | 15.4x | 2.8 % | 6.0 % | 9.3 % | 6.8x | 3.6 % | 19.4 % | ||
| 6 | CVNA | 6.0 | 5.5 | 70.4Md USD | 29.7x | 6.3 % | 52.4 % | 18.8 % | 1.3x | 1.3 % | -15.4 % | ||
| 7 | AZO | 5.9 | 5.4 | 46.4Md USD | 18.6x | 12.6 % | 5.6 % | 27.5 % | 2.8x | — | -30.4 % | ||
| 8 | ORLY | 5.7 | 5.1 | 69.5Md USD | 27.3x | 14.3 % | 8.1 % | 38.0 % | 2.1x | 3.1 % | -16.8 % | ||
| 9 | KMX | 4.1 | 2.6 | 8.2Md USD | 37.8x | 0.8 % | 5.5 % | 0.9 % | 18.6x | 12.2 % | -2.2 % |
