Overall verdict
Neutral
5.8/10
1-year performance
-18.04%
Score breakdown
Down 18.0% over 1 year, 22% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 8.0/10. Weakest: Shareholder return 0.4/10.
24 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Carvana Co., together with its subsidiaries, operates an e-commerce platform for buying and selling used cars. It provides vehicle acquisition, inspection and reconditioning, online search and shopping experience, financing, complementary products, logistics network and distinctive fulfillment experience, and post-sale customer support services. The company also operates auction sites. Carvana Co. was founded in 2012 and is based in Tempe, Arizona.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Specialty Retail
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Ernest Garcia
Founded
2012
Employees
23 100
Revenue / employee
879 740 USD
Next earnings
October 30, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/7.71%
- Capital Research Global Investors5.77%
- BlackRock, Inc.4.41%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC4.15%
- FMR LLC3.06%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC2.93%
- STATE STREET CORP2.68%
- Capital International Investors2.12%
- CAS Investment Partners, LLC2.05%
- Other institutions32.36%
- Rest of the register32.77%
798 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
97.38 USD
52-week low
54.46 USD
1-year performance
-18.04%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-24.17%
Declining
Drawdown
-34.23%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
22% of range
Range: 38.18 USD - 49.68 USD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 22.59% per year; the company grows at 25.00%.
Gross margin 18.7%, net margin 6.3%, ROIC 18.8%, ROE 54.5%.
Net margin
6.26%
Exceptional
Sector 1.88%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
18.68%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
54.46%
Exceptional
Sector 8.82%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
18.75%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
3.71%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.59x
Low
Margin stability
8.7 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
7.5/10Revenue up 52.4% over 1 year, 29.5% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
25.1Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
52.40%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
49.38%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
63.95%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
1.51%
Revised up
Valuation
3.3/10P/E 29.7x, forward P/E 40.9x, EV/EBITDA 28.9x, PEG 0.18. The multiple sits in the 9th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
29.7x
Expensive
Sector 17.7x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
40.9x
Very expensive
EV / EBITDA
28.9x
Very expensive
Sector 10.7x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
0.18
Growth unpriced
Sector 0.65|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
43.93 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 9% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
70.4Md USD
Financial strength
8.0/10Cash covers 55.8% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 1.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.3x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
50.06%
Solid
Cash
3.2Md USD
Cash / market cap
4.61%
Tight
Cash / total debt
55.78%
Solid
Interest coverage
5.3x
Solid
Net debt
2.6Md USD
Equity
5.1Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 64.18 USD
- MM2069.92
- MM5068.99
- MM20072.80
- RSI 1439.0
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+0.27%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-0.78%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+1.98%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
2.19 % per day
Volatility change
-39.57%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 1.57 (11) | 1.63 (9) | 28 941 (20) | 2 944 (20) | 1 300 (11) |
| 2027 | 2.28 (13) | 2.26 (9) | 36 324 (21) | 3 850 (20) | 1 724 (11) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 21, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 62 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | MUSA | 7.3 | 7.2 | 9.3Md USD | 15.4x | 2.9 % | 36.0 % | 18.4 % | 2.7x | 5.8 % | 33.1 % | ||
| 2 | UGPA3 | 7.3 | 8.7 | 8.4Md USD | 12.6x | 2.4 % | 21.9 % | 11.3 % | 2.4x | 13.7 % | 81.0 % | ||
| 3 | VBBR3 | 7.3 | 8.2 | 8.9Md USD | 9.5x | 2.5 % | 25.6 % | 11.6 % | 2.9x | 14.4 % | 73.5 % | ||
| 4 | 2207 | 6.2 | 6.5 | 9.1Md USD | 12.6x | 7.6 % | 29.4 % | 25.9 % | 6.3x | 7.8 % | -12.2 % | ||
| 5 | AZO | 6.0 | 5.5 | 46.4Md USD | 18.6x | 12.6 % | 5.6 % | 27.5 % | 2.8x | — | -30.4 % | ||
| 6 | CVNA | 5.8 | 5.7 | 70.4Md USD | 29.7x | 6.3 % | 52.4 % | 18.8 % | 1.3x | 1.3 % | -18.0 % | ||
| 7 | PAG | 5.8 | 5.7 | 13.8Md USD | 15.4x | 2.8 % | 6.0 % | 9.3 % | 6.8x | 3.6 % | 19.0 % | ||
| 8 | ORLY | 5.6 | 5.0 | 69.5Md USD | 27.3x | 14.3 % | 8.1 % | 38.0 % | 2.1x | 3.1 % | -16.8 % | ||
| 9 | KMX | 4.2 | 2.7 | 8.2Md USD | 37.8x | 0.8 % | 5.5 % | 0.9 % | 18.6x | 12.2 % | -2.2 % |
