Overall verdict
Neutral
3.9/10
1-year performance
-7.80%
Score breakdown
Down 7.8% over 1 year, 68% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Growth 6.7/10. Weakest: Profitability 0.0/10.
21 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
GFL Environmental Inc. provides non-hazardous solid waste management services in Canada and the United States. It offers solid waste management services, including collection, transportation, transfer, recycling, and disposal services for municipal, residential, commercial, and industrial customers. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Miami Beach, Florida.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Commercial Services and Supplies
Primary listing
Tsx
United States
CEO
Patrick Dovigi
Founded
2007
Employees
15 000
Revenue / employee
441 060 CAD
Next earnings
October 28, 2026
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
66.34 CAD
52-week low
46.12 CAD
1-year performance
-7.80%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
0.93%
Declining
Drawdown
-9.80%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
68% of range
Range: 32.27 CAD - 36.41 CAD (comparables only)
The price implies growth of 21.03% per year; the company grows at 9.53%.
Gross margin 20.0%, the company loses 2.6% of its revenue, ROIC -1.1%, ROE -2.4%.
Net margin
-2.56%
Negative
Sector 5.65%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
19.99%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
-2.38%
Negative
Sector 5.99%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
-1.11%
Negative
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
5.74%
Exceptional
Margin stability
22.8 pts
Very uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.7/10Revenue up 16.3% over 1 year, 9.5% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
6.7Md CAD
Revenue growth (1y)
16.27%
Hyper-growth
Revenue growth (3y)
-2.15%
Declining
EPS growth (1y)
—
EPS CAGR (5y)
—
EPS revisions (3 months)
-5.08%
Sharply revised down
Valuation
1.2/10The company loses money, so no valuation multiple can be read: a negative P/E is not a discount.
P/E (TTM)
—
N/A (loss)
Sector 22.2x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E (adjusted)
74.5x
Very expensive
EV / EBITDA
20.8x
Expensive
Sector 13.6x|S&P 14.6x
PEG
—
Sector 0.79|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
34.34 CAD
Deeply overvalued
Market cap
26.1Md CAD
Financial strength
1.9/10Cash covers 1.9% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 4.4x.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.4x
Tight
Gearing (net debt / equity)
131.94%
Stretched
Cash
186M CAD
Cash / market cap
0.71%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
1.89%
Stretched
Net debt
9.6Md CAD
Equity
7.3Md CAD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 29, 2026: 59.84 CAD
- MM2059.11
- MM5057.84
- MM20056.37
- RSI 1455.0
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-0.69%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-3.16%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+3.73%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.92 % per day
Volatility change
-4.92%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | -0.94 (1) | 0.87 (7) | 8 032 (6) | 2 472 (6) | -285 (2) |
| 2027 | 0.49 (1) | 1.47 (7) | 9 823 (6) | 3 153 (6) | 390 (2) |
Amounts in millions of CAD, EPS in CAD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 28, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 128 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLH | 7.6 | 7.2 | 16.5Md USD | 38.0x | 7.0 % | 11.9 % | 7.6 % | 2.0x | 2.8 % | 34.5 % | ||
| 2 | VLTO | 6.9 | 7.0 | 23.7Md USD | 24.5x | 17.3 % | 7.5 % | 17.8 % | 0.6x | 4.4 % | -8.4 % | ||
| 3 | RSG | 6.8 | 7.1 | 64.9Md USD | 30.0x | 12.9 % | 4.6 % | 8.7 % | 2.6x | 4.1 % | -7.0 % | ||
| 4 | ROL | 6.8 | 7.5 | 14.4Md USD | 27.3x | 13.6 % | 7.9 % | 24.1 % | 1.1x | 4.3 % | -46.6 % | ||
| 5 | TTEK | 6.8 | 6.9 | 8.7Md USD | 20.4x | 8.6 % | -4.5 % | 15.7 % | 1.2x | 6.3 % | 1.8 % | ||
| 6 | WM | 6.7 | 6.6 | 82.7Md USD | 29.3x | 11.1 % | 4.0 % | 8.9 % | 3.1x | 4.3 % | -6.2 % | ||
| 7 | WCN | 6.2 | 6.3 | 39.2Md USD | 38.6x | 10.9 % | 2.0 % | 6.1 % | 3.0x | 2.9 % | -8.7 % | ||
| 8 | RTO | 5.1 | 6.0 | 10.3Md USD | 21.6x | 4.5 % | 1.2 % | 3.3 % | 2.5x | 7.3 % | -14.7 % | ||
| 9 | GFL | 3.9 | 2.3 | 18.4Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -2.6 % | 16.3 % | -1.1 % | 4.4x | 1.5 % | -7.8 % |
