Overall verdict
Buy
6.7/10
1-year performance
-6.98%
Score breakdown
Down 7.0% over 1 year, 42% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 10.0/10. Weakest: Financial strength 4.7/10.
27 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
Republic Services, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, offers environmental services in the United States and Canada. It is involved in the collection and processing of recyclable, solid waste, and industrial waste materials; transportation and disposal of non-hazardous and hazardous waste streams; and other environmental solutions. Its residential collection services include curbside collection of material for transport to transfer stations, landfills, recycling centers, and organics processing facilities; supply of recycling and waste containers; and renting of compactors.
The company also engages in the processing and sale of old corrugated containers, old newsprint, aluminum, glass, and other materials; and provision of landfill services. It serves small-container, large-container, and residential customers. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Commercial Services and Supplies
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Jon Vander Ark
Founded
1996
Employees
42 000
Revenue / employee
395 024 USD
Next earnings
October 29, 2026
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.5.82%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC4.26%
- STATE STREET CORP3.25%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC2.32%
- PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/2.12%
- MORGAN STANLEY1.60%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC1.60%
- FMR LLC1.48%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO1.20%
- Other institutions35.41%
- Rest of the register40.95%
1303 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
233.42 USD
52-week low
196.41 USD
1-year performance
-6.98%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
0.74%
Declining
Drawdown
-9.21%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
42% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for.
$10,000 placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Republic Services | $118,500 |
| World ETF | $59,358 |
| S&P 500 | $97,863 |
| Risk-free placement | $12,789 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.3 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-34 % between February 2020 and March 2020. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $6,598. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 8 months.
Republic Services earned more than the world ETF since 2009
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Republic Services: $118,500
- World ETF: $59,358
- S&P 500: $97,863
- Risk-free placement: $12,789
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 173.39 USD - 188.04 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 7.64% per year; the company grows at 17.78%.
Quality and profitability
10.0/10Gross margin 30.3%, net margin 12.9%, ROIC 8.7%, ROE 18.2%.
Net margin
12.94%
Exceptional
Sector 5.30%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
30.26%
High
Return on equity (ROE)
18.15%
Exceptional
Sector 5.44%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
8.65%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
15.71%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.21x
Exceptional
Margin stability
0.8 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
5.6/10Revenue up 4.6% over 1 year, 10.3% a year over 5, EPS 17.8% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
16.9Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
4.60%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
22.79%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
4.83%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
17.78%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
-0.14%
Revised down
Valuation
5.5/10P/E 30.0x, forward P/E 29.2x, EV/EBITDA 15.0x, PEG 1.69. The multiple sits in the 20th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
30.0x
Expensive
Sector 22.0x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
29.2x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
15.0x
Fair
Sector 13.6x|S&P 14.6x
PEG
1.69
Expensive
Sector 0.79|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
180.72 USD
Overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 20% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
64.9Md USD
Financial strength
4.7/10Cash covers 0.7% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 2.6x.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.6x
Solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
117.91%
Stretched
Cash
107M USD
Cash / market cap
0.16%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
0.75%
Stretched
Interest coverage
5.7x
Solid
Net debt
14.2Md USD
Equity
12.0Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 29, 2026: 211.92 USD
- MM20218.89
- MM50217.24
- MM200215.24
- RSI 1436.8
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+0.29%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-0.06%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+0.50%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
0.85 % per day
Volatility change
-34.52%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.25 (14) | 7.28 (26) | 17 279 (25) | 5 548 (24) | 2 227 (15) |
| 2027 | 8.09 (15) | 8.06 (26) | 18 098 (25) | 5 904 (24) | 2 448 (15) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 28, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 128 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLH | 7.6 | 7.2 | 16.5Md USD | 38.0x | 7.0 % | 11.9 % | 7.6 % | 2.0x | 2.8 % | 34.5 % | ||
| 2 | TTEK | 6.9 | 7.0 | 8.7Md USD | 20.4x | 8.6 % | -4.5 % | 15.7 % | 1.2x | 6.3 % | 1.8 % | ||
| 3 | VLTO | 6.9 | 6.9 | 23.7Md USD | 24.5x | 17.3 % | 7.5 % | 17.8 % | 0.6x | 4.4 % | -8.4 % | ||
| 4 | ROL | 6.8 | 7.5 | 14.4Md USD | 27.3x | 13.6 % | 7.9 % | 24.1 % | 1.1x | 4.3 % | -46.6 % | ||
| 5 | RSG | 6.7 | 6.8 | 64.9Md USD | 30.0x | 12.9 % | 4.6 % | 8.7 % | 2.6x | 4.1 % | -7.0 % | ||
| 6 | WM | 6.7 | 6.6 | 82.7Md USD | 29.3x | 11.1 % | 4.0 % | 8.9 % | 3.1x | 4.3 % | -6.2 % | ||
| 7 | WCN | 6.2 | 6.3 | 39.2Md USD | 38.6x | 10.9 % | 2.0 % | 6.1 % | 3.0x | 2.9 % | -8.7 % | ||
| 8 | RTO | 5.1 | 6.0 | 10.3Md USD | 21.6x | 4.5 % | 1.2 % | 3.3 % | 2.5x | 7.3 % | -14.7 % | ||
| 9 | GFL | 4.4 | 2.4 | 18.4Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -2.6 % | 16.3 % | -1.1 % | 4.4x | 1.5 % | -9.8 % |
