Overall verdict
Buy
6.7/10
1-year performance
-6.18%
Score breakdown
Down 6.2% over 1 year, 24% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 10.0/10. Weakest: Financial strength 2.3/10.
28 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
Waste Management, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides environmental solutions to residential, commercial, industrial, and municipal customers in the United States, Canada, Western Europe, and internationally. It offers collection services, including picking up and transporting waste and recyclable materials from where it was generated to a transfer station, recovery facility, or disposal site ;
owns and operates transfer stations ; and owns, develops, and operates landfill gas-to-energy facilities that produce renewable electricity and renewable natural gas. It also operates materials processing and commodities recycling services, including cardboard, paper, glass, metals, plastics, construction and demolition materials, and other recycling commodities are recovered for resale or redirected for other purposes ;
markets and resells recycling commodities ; recycling brokerage services, such as managing the marketing of recyclable materials for third parties ; and other strategic business solutions. In addition, the company collects recyclable food and yard waste, as well as markets and sells mulch, compost, soil amendments, and renewable energy; offers remediation and construction, and industrial waste services; and manages and markets fly ash.
Further, it provides Regulated Waste and Compliance Services (RWCS), which offers compliance programs, as well as collection, processing, and disposal of regulated and specialized waste, including medical, pharmaceutical, and hazardous waste ; and Secure Information Destruction (SID) services that include the collection of personal and confidential information for secure destruction and recycling of sorted office paper. The company was formerly known as USA Waste Services, Inc. and changed its name to Waste Management, Inc. in 1998. Waste Management, Inc. was founded in 1968 and is based in Houston, Texas.
Sector
Industrials
Industry
Commercial Services and Supplies
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
James Fish
Founded
1968
Employees
60 500
Revenue / employee
416 595 USD
Next earnings
October 27, 2026
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.7.70%
- GATES FOUNDATION TRUST6.69%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.31%
- STATE STREET CORP4.51%
- Capital Research Global Investors2.61%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC2.54%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.27%
- AMERIPRISE FINANCIAL INC1.78%
- MORGAN STANLEY1.65%
- Other institutions46.96%
- Rest of the register16.98%
2361 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
248.13 USD
52-week low
194.11 USD
1-year performance
-6.18%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-5.70%
Declining
Drawdown
-16.54%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
24% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for.
$10,000 placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Waste Management | $111,916 |
| World ETF | $59,358 |
| S&P 500 | $97,863 |
| Risk-free placement | $12,789 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.3 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-30 % between February 2020 and March 2020. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $6,993. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 12 months.
Waste Management earned more than the world ETF since 2009
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Waste Management: $111,916
- World ETF: $59,358
- S&P 500: $97,863
- Risk-free placement: $12,789
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 165.15 USD - 203.43 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 6.90% per year; the company grows at 13.74%.
Quality and profitability
10.0/10Gross margin 29.1%, net margin 11.1%, ROIC 8.9%, ROE 29.8%.
Net margin
11.12%
Exceptional
Sector 5.30%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
29.15%
Fair
Return on equity (ROE)
29.83%
Exceptional
Sector 5.44%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
8.85%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
13.92%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
1.25x
Exceptional
Margin stability
1.4 pts
Very steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
6.8/10Revenue up 4.0% over 1 year, 10.6% a year over 5, EPS 13.7% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
25.7Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
3.95%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
27.95%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
8.64%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
13.74%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
-0.72%
Revised down
Valuation
5.8/10P/E 29.3x, forward P/E 25.7x, EV/EBITDA 13.9x, PEG 2.13. The multiple sits in the 20th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
29.3x
Expensive
Sector 22.0x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
25.7x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
13.9x
Fair
Sector 13.7x|S&P 14.6x
PEG
2.13
Very expensive
Sector 0.79|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
177.41 USD
Overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 20% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
82.7Md USD
Financial strength
2.3/10Cash covers 2.4% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 3.1x.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.1x
Solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
229.60%
Stretched
Cash
566M USD
Cash / market cap
0.68%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
2.42%
Stretched
Net debt
22.8Md USD
Equity
9.9Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 29, 2026: 207.09 USD
- MM20213.33
- MM50221.76
- MM200225.02
- RSI 1431.1
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+0.07%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+1.65%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-2.83%
Price structure
Lower lows
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
0.89 % per day
Volatility change
-30.17%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8.05 (13) | 8.14 (28) | 26 392 (26) | 8 206 (25) | 3 208 (15) |
| 2027 | 9.09 (15) | 9.12 (28) | 27 811 (26) | 8 776 (25) | 3 555 (15) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 27, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 128 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CLH | 7.6 | 7.2 | 16.5Md USD | 38.0x | 7.0 % | 11.9 % | 7.6 % | 2.0x | 2.8 % | 34.5 % | ||
| 2 | ROL | 6.9 | 7.5 | 14.4Md USD | 27.3x | 13.6 % | 7.9 % | 24.1 % | 1.1x | 4.3 % | -46.6 % | ||
| 3 | TTEK | 6.9 | 7.0 | 8.7Md USD | 20.4x | 8.6 % | -4.5 % | 15.7 % | 1.2x | 6.3 % | 1.8 % | ||
| 4 | VLTO | 6.9 | 6.9 | 23.7Md USD | 24.5x | 17.3 % | 7.5 % | 17.8 % | 0.6x | 4.4 % | -8.4 % | ||
| 5 | RSG | 6.8 | 7.1 | 64.9Md USD | 30.0x | 12.9 % | 4.6 % | 8.7 % | 2.6x | 4.1 % | -7.0 % | ||
| 6 | WM | 6.7 | 6.7 | 82.7Md USD | 29.3x | 11.1 % | 4.0 % | 8.9 % | 3.1x | 4.3 % | -6.2 % | ||
| 7 | WCN | 6.2 | 6.3 | 39.2Md USD | 38.6x | 10.9 % | 2.0 % | 6.1 % | 3.0x | 2.9 % | -8.7 % | ||
| 8 | RTO | 5.0 | 6.0 | 10.3Md USD | 21.6x | 4.5 % | 1.2 % | 3.3 % | 2.5x | 7.3 % | -14.7 % | ||
| 9 | GFL | 4.4 | 2.4 | 18.4Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -2.6 % | 16.3 % | -1.1 % | 4.4x | 1.5 % | -9.8 % |
