Overall verdict
Neutral
5.2/10
1-year performance
-21.54%
Score breakdown
Down 21.5% over 1 year, 2% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Shareholder return 6.6/10. Weakest: Financial strength 2.3/10.
35 analysts, target +0.3% vs the price.
McDonald's Corporation owns, operates, and franchises restaurants under the McDonald's brand in the United States and internationally. It offers food and beverages, including hamburgers and cheeseburgers, various chicken sandwiches, fries, shakes, frozen desserts, sundaes, soft serve cones, cookies, pies, soft drinks, coffee, and other beverages; and full or limited breakfast, as well as sells various other products during limited-time promotions.
The company owns and operates franchised restaurants under various structures, including conventional franchise, developmental license, or affiliate. McDonald's Corporation was founded in 1940 and is based in Chicago, Illinois.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Hotels, Restaurants and Leisure
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Christopher Kempczinski
Founded
1940
Employees
150 000
Revenue / employee
179 233 USD
Next earnings
November 2, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.7.77%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.51%
- STATE STREET CORP5.06%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO4.48%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC2.63%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC2.54%
- MORGAN STANLEY2.11%
- BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/1.54%
- NORGES BANK1.39%
- Other institutions39.59%
- Rest of the register26.39%
3456 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
341.75 USD
52-week low
234.03 USD
1-year performance
-21.54%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-21.94%
Declining
Drawdown
-30.81%
Major drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
2% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 1.3 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| McDonald's | 91 757 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.3 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-36 % between February 2020 and March 2020. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 6 363 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 13 months.
McDonald's earned more than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- McDonald's: 91 757 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 250.00 USD - 255.87 USD (3 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 6.08% per year; the company grows at 13.64%.
Gross margin 57.4%, net margin 31.7%, ROIC 16.8%, ROE -464.6%.
Net margin
31.72%
Exceptional
Sector 4.17%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
57.38%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
-464.55%
Negative
Sector 11.25%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
16.79%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
28.02%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.88x
Fair
Margin stability
4.4 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
3.8/10Revenue up 3.8% over 1 year, 7.0% a year over 5, EPS 13.6% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
27.7Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
3.76%
Moderate
Revenue growth (3y)
15.97%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
5.80%
Solid
EPS CAGR (5y)
13.64%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
-0.61%
Revised down
Valuation
6.1/10P/E 19.2x, forward P/E 18.5x, EV/EBITDA 15.7x, PEG 1.41. The multiple sits in the 2th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
19.2x
Fair
Sector 22.7x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
18.5x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
15.7x
Expensive
Sector 12.2x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
1.41
Fair
Sector 0.89|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
252.94 USD
Fairly priced
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 2% lowest valuations
Far cheaper than usual
Market cap
169Md USD
Financial strength
2.3/10Cash covers 1.5% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 3.7x.
Net debt / EBITDA
3.7x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
—
Cash
822M USD
Cash / market cap
0.49%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
1.51%
Stretched
Interest coverage
7.9x
Solid
Net debt
53.8Md USD
Equity
-1.0Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 237.02 USD
- MM20253.50
- MM50263.25
- MM200292.20
- RSI 1425.0
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-1.82%
200-day average slope, 3 months
-4.00%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-3.20%
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.46 % per day
Volatility change
+16.01%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 12.80 (16) | 12.90 (32) | 28 182 (32) | 15 578 (26) | 9 069 (17) |
| 2027 | 13.88 (18) | 13.86 (33) | 29 304 (33) | 16 486 (27) | 9 701 (19) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 24, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 125 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CPG | 6.9 | 7.5 | 51.3Md USD | 25.3x | 4.2 % | 9.7 % | 15.2 % | 1.4x | 6.0 % | -6.6 % | ||
| 2 | CMG | 6.3 | 5.8 | 41.4Md USD | 30.2x | 11.4 % | 9.3 % | 18.5 % | 1.7x | 3.8 % | -19.3 % | ||
| 3 | YUM | 6.1 | 5.9 | 38.4Md USD | 17.7x | 25.4 % | 12.2 % | 62.0 % | 4.4x | 4.4 % | -7.7 % | ||
| 4 | DASH | 5.8 | 4.8 | 82.0Md USD | 99.4x | 5.3 % | 35.6 % | 6.7 % | -1.5x | 2.6 % | -29.5 % | ||
| 5 | SBUX | 5.5 | 4.9 | 107Md USD | 54.3x | 5.2 % | -1.4 % | 14.2 % | 4.4x | 3.4 % | 9.4 % | ||
| 6 | MCD | 5.2 | 5.2 | 169Md USD | 19.2x | 31.7 % | 3.8 % | 16.8 % | 3.7x | 4.6 % | -21.5 % | ||
| 7 | QSP.UN | 5.1 | 5.4 | 33.7Md USD | 20.7x | 18.4 % | 4.5 % | 8.5 % | 5.0x | 4.7 % | 17.8 % | ||
| 8 | 3690 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 57.3Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -9.9 % | 21.5 % | -15.9 % | 2.9x | — | -27.5 % | ||
| 9 | ETERNAL | 4.8 | 3.6 | 34.4Md USD | 718.0x | 0.6 % | 182.0 % | — | -3.0x | — | -0.3 % |
