Overall verdict
Neutral
5.8/10
1-year performance
-5.24%
Score breakdown
Down 5.2% over 1 year, 13% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Growth 7.3/10. Weakest: Financial strength 2.2/10.
27 analysts, target +0.2% vs the price.
Yum! Brands, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, develops, operates, and franchises traditional and non-traditional quick service restaurants in the United States, China, and internationally. The company operates in four segments: KFC Division, Taco Bell Division, Pizza Hut Division, and Habit Burger & Grill Division.
It also operates restaurants under the KFC, Pizza Hut, Taco Bell, and Habit Burger & Grill brands, which specialize in chicken, Mexican-style food and pizza categories, made-to-order chargrilled burgers, sandwiches, and other products. The company was formerly known as TRICON Global Restaurants, Inc. and changed its name to Yum! Brands, Inc. in May 2002. Yum! Brands, Inc. was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
Sector
Consumer Discretionary
Industry
Hotels, Restaurants and Leisure
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Christopher Turner
Founded
1997
Employees
49 000
Revenue / employee
167 633 USD
Next earnings
November 4, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.9.48%
- JPMORGAN CHASE & CO7.25%
- VANGUARD CAPITAL MANAGEMENT LLC6.52%
- Capital International Investors6.14%
- VANGUARD PORTFOLIO MANAGEMENT LLC5.07%
- STATE STREET CORP4.77%
- T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc.3.72%
- GEODE CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC3.03%
- NORGES BANK1.82%
- Other institutions40.38%
- Rest of the register11.84%
1431 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
170.14 USD
52-week low
134.26 USD
1-year performance
-5.24%
Declining
Year-to-date performance
-7.20%
Declining
Drawdown
-18.36%
Marked drawdown
Position in the 52-week range
13% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to August 2026, the share did not do better than the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 1.8 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
10,000 € placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Yum! Brands | 109 857 € |
| World ETF | 74 620 € |
| S&P 500 | 123 025 € |
| Risk-free placement | 11 288 € |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 1.8 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-51 % between September 2019 and March 2020. 10,000 € placed at the top fell to 4 908 €. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 16 months.
Yum! Brands earned more than the world ETF since 2009
Value of 10,000 euros placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in euros
- Yum! Brands: 109 857 €
- World ETF: 74 620 €
- S&P 500: 123 025 €
- Risk-free placement: 11 288 €
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 147.00 USD - 183.22 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 6.74% per year; the company grows at 13.51%.
Gross margin 45.3%, net margin 25.4%, ROIC 62.0%, ROE -30.0%.
Net margin
25.42%
Exceptional
Sector 4.17%|S&P 12.97%
Gross margin
45.33%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
-29.99%
Negative
Sector 11.25%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
61.99%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
19.25%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.76x
Fair
Margin stability
3.2 pts
Steady
Revenue to net income
Growth
7.3/10Revenue up 12.2% over 1 year, 7.8% a year over 5, EPS 13.5% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
8.7Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
12.21%
Strong
Revenue growth (3y)
20.05%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
131.36%
Hyper-growth
EPS CAGR (5y)
13.51%
Fair
EPS revisions (3 months)
-5.36%
Sharply revised down
Valuation
6.3/10P/E 17.5x, forward P/E 16.7x, EV/EBITDA 16.0x, PEG 1.29. The multiple sits in the 34th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
17.5x
Fair
Sector 22.7x|S&P 23.0x
Forward P/E
16.7x
Fair
EV / EBITDA
16.0x
Expensive
Sector 12.2x|S&P 14.5x
PEG
1.29
Fair
Sector 0.89|S&P 0.86
Fair value (reverse DCF)
164.06 USD
Undervalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 34% lowest valuations
Cheaper than usual
Market cap
38.4Md USD
Financial strength
2.2/10Cash covers 6.4% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 4.4x.
Net debt / EBITDA
4.4x
Stretched
Gearing (net debt / equity)
—
Cash
861M USD
Cash / market cap
2.24%
Stretched
Cash / total debt
6.42%
Stretched
Interest coverage
4.9x
Tight
Net debt
12.6Md USD
Equity
-7.1Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on September 24, 2026: 137.34 USD
- MM20144.99
- MM50147.98
- MM200154.27
- RSI 1437.8
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
-0.28%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+0.66%
50-day average slope, 1 month
-3.50%
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.82 % per day
Volatility change
+16.69%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 8.33 (5) | 6.39 (12) | 8 727 (11) | 2 921 (9) | 2 485 (6) |
| 2027 | 6.76 (7) | 6.93 (12) | 8 632 (11) | 3 047 (9) | 1 756 (7) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of September 24, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 125 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CPG | 6.9 | 7.5 | 51.3Md USD | 25.3x | 4.2 % | 9.7 % | 15.2 % | 1.4x | 6.0 % | -6.6 % | ||
| 2 | CMG | 6.4 | 5.9 | 41.4Md USD | 30.2x | 11.4 % | 9.3 % | 18.5 % | 1.7x | 3.8 % | -19.3 % | ||
| 3 | DASH | 5.8 | 4.8 | 82.0Md USD | 99.4x | 5.3 % | 35.6 % | 6.7 % | -1.5x | 2.6 % | -29.5 % | ||
| 4 | YUM | 5.8 | 5.8 | 38.4Md USD | 17.5x | 25.4 % | 12.2 % | 62.0 % | 4.4x | 4.4 % | -5.2 % | ||
| 5 | SBUX | 5.5 | 4.9 | 107Md USD | 54.3x | 5.2 % | -1.4 % | 14.2 % | 4.4x | 3.4 % | 9.4 % | ||
| 6 | MCD | 5.2 | 5.1 | 169Md USD | 19.4x | 31.7 % | 3.8 % | 16.8 % | 3.7x | 4.6 % | -21.6 % | ||
| 7 | QSP.UN | 5.1 | 5.4 | 33.7Md USD | 20.7x | 18.4 % | 4.5 % | 8.5 % | 5.0x | 4.7 % | 17.8 % | ||
| 8 | 3690 | 4.9 | 3.2 | 57.3Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -9.9 % | 21.5 % | -15.9 % | 2.9x | — | -27.5 % | ||
| 9 | ETERNAL | 4.8 | 3.6 | 34.4Md USD | 718.0x | 0.6 % | 182.0 % | — | -3.0x | — | -0.3 % |
