Overall verdict
Neutral
6.2/10
1-year performance
+64.25%
Score breakdown
Up 64.3% over 1 year, 87% of the 52-week range.
Strongest: Profitability 10.0/10. Weakest: Valuation 4.3/10.
18 analysts, target -0.2% vs the price.
Southern Copper Corporation engages in mining, exploring, smelting, and refining copper and other minerals in Mexico, the United States, Peru, Brazil, Chile, and Other American countries. The company is involved in the mining, milling, and flotation of copper ore to produce copper and molybdenum concentrates ; smelting of copper concentrates to produce blister and anode copper ; refining of anode copper to produce copper cathodes ;
production of copper-molybdenum concentrates and sulfuric acid ; production of refined silver, gold, and other materials ; and mining and processing of copper, molybdenum, zinc, silver, gold and lead. It operates the Toquepala and Cuajone open-pit mines, smelter, and refinery in Peru; La Caridad, an open-pit copper mine, as well as copper ore concentrator; and SX-EW plant, a smelter, refinery, and rod plant in Mexico.
The company also operates Buenavista, an open-pit copper mine, as well as copper concentrators and operating SX-EW plants in Mexico. In addition, it operates underground mines that produce zinc, lead, copper, silver, and gold; coal mine; and zinc refinery. The company has interests in 164,805 hectares and 505,788 hectares of concessions in Peru and Mexico; and 98,634 hectares and 28,453 hectares of exploration concessions in Argentina and Chile.
Southern Copper Corporation was formerly known as Southern Peru Copper Corp. and changed its name to Southern Copper Corporation in July 1996. The company was incorporated in 1952 and is based in Phoenix, Arizona. Southern Copper Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Americas Mining Corporation.
Sector
Materials
Industry
Metals and Mining
Primary listing
Nyse
United States
CEO
Leonardo Contreras Lerdo de Tejada
Founded
1952
Employees
16 617
Revenue / employee
807 607 USD
Next earnings
October 26, 2026 (estimated)
Institutional holders
- BlackRock, Inc.1.18%
- Capital World Investors0.92%
- PRICE T ROWE ASSOCIATES INC /MD/0.37%
- STATE STREET CORP0.36%
- Fisher Asset Management, LLC0.33%
- NEUBERGER BERMAN GROUP LLC0.30%
- MIRAE ASSET GLOBAL ETFS HOLDINGS Ltd.0.30%
- BANK OF AMERICA CORP /DE/0.22%
- GOLDMAN SACHS GROUP INC0.18%
- Other institutions4.96%
- Rest of the register90.89%
857 13F filings as of June 30, 2026: US managers above $100M, filed up to 45 days after quarter end. No insiders, no retail. A share on loan is declared by its lender and by whoever bought it from the short seller, so the total can exceed 100%.
Research uses the underlying stock’s market history. The purchase quote is calculated separately when you review your order.
52-week high
220.78 USD
52-week low
115.69 USD
1-year performance
64.25%
Rising
Year-to-date performance
45.79%
Rising
Drawdown
-6.05%
Mild pullback
Position in the 52-week range
87% of range
Against the world ETF
Over 17 years, from September 2009 to September 2026, the share did not clearly beat the world ETF once risk is accounted for. It earned more, but shaking 2.7 times harder: for the risk taken, the ETF paid better.
$10,000 placed at the end of September 2009 are worth today
| Southern Copper | $136,162 |
| World ETF | $60,004 |
| S&P 500 | $97,541 |
| Risk-free placement | $12,831 |
The risk
- Shaking:the share moves 2.7 times as much as the world ETF.
- Worst fall:-55 % between April 2018 and March 2020. $10,000 placed at the top fell to $4,517. The world ETF, at worst: -34 %. Back to its high in 7 months.
Southern Copper earned 2 times as much as the world ETF since 2009
Value of $10,000 placed at the end of September 2009, dividends reinvested, in dollars
- Southern Copper: $136,162
- World ETF: $60,004
- S&P 500: $97,541
- Risk-free placement: $12,831
Based on past performance. This is not a recommendation.
Range: 139.43 USD - 156.11 USD (2 methods agree)
The price implies growth of 12.06% per year; the company grows at 22.29%.
Quality and profitability
10.0/10Gross margin 57.8%, net margin 35.9%, ROIC 29.4%, ROE 50.1%.
Net margin
35.87%
Exceptional
Sector 11.61%|S&P 13.11%
Gross margin
57.82%
Exceptional
Return on equity (ROE)
50.07%
Exceptional
Sector 10.93%|S&P 16.52%
Return on invested capital (ROIC)
29.41%
Exceptional
Free cash flow margin (FCF)
32.31%
Exceptional
Profit-to-cash conversion (FCF conversion)
0.90x
Exceptional
Margin stability
6.7 pts
Uneven
Revenue to net income
Growth
7.1/10Revenue up 40.6% over 1 year, 10.9% a year over 5, EPS 22.3% a year over 5.
Revenue (trailing 12 months)
15.8Md USD
Revenue growth (1y)
40.58%
Solid
Revenue growth (3y)
33.56%
Solid
EPS growth (1y)
73.46%
Strong
EPS CAGR (5y)
22.29%
Exceptional
EPS revisions (3 months)
4.74%
Revised up
Valuation
4.3/10P/E 31.1x, forward P/E 26.3x, EV/EBITDA 17.8x, PEG 1.39. The multiple sits in the 97th percentile of its own 5-year history.
P/E (TTM)
31.1x
Expensive
Sector 16.7x|S&P 23.4x
Forward P/E
26.3x
Expensive
EV / EBITDA
17.8x
Very expensive
Sector 8.3x|S&P 14.8x
PEG
1.39
Fair
Sector 0.12|S&P 0.88
Fair value (reverse DCF)
142.75 USD
Deeply overvalued
P/E vs its own 5-year history
among the 3% highest valuations
At its historical high
Market cap
175Md USD
Financial strength
9.8/10Cash covers 85.0% of the debt, net debt/EBITDA 0.3x.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.3x
Very solid
Gearing (net debt / equity)
10.19%
Very solid
Cash
7.3Md USD
Cash / market cap
4.19%
Tight
Cash / total debt
84.99%
Very solid
Interest coverage
21.4x
Very solid
Net debt
1.3Md USD
Equity
12.7Md USD
Closed daily candles, 2 years
Last close on October 13, 2026: 207.42 USD
- MM20202.00
- MM50200.67
- MM200184.08
- RSI 1456.4
Top panel: closed candles, 20, 50 and 200-day moving averages, with volume in grey. Bottom panel: 14-day RSI with dashed 30 and 70 levels.
200-day average slope, 1 month
+3.84%
200-day average slope, 3 months
+12.91%
50-day average slope, 1 month
+5.45%
Price structure
higher-low
Bullish RSI divergence
No
20-day volatility
1.95 % per day
Volatility change
-38.46%
Forecasts by fiscal year
| Fiscal year | EPS | Normalised EPS | Revenue | EBITDA | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 7.87 (10) | 7.82 (13) | 17 202 (13) | 11 227 (11) | 6 628 (7) |
| 2027 | 7.35 (10) | 7.56 (13) | 16 551 (14) | 10 593 (12) | 6 078 (8) |
Amounts in millions of USD, EPS in USD per share. In brackets, the number of analysts. Consensus as of October 13, 2026.
Same sub-industry: 42 companies behind the medians.
| # | Company | Code | Country | Overall / 10 | Fundamentals / 10 | Mkt cap | P/E | Net margin | Revenue growth | ROIC | Net debt / EBITDA | FCF yield | 1-year perf. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CVERDEC1 | 8.9 | 8.9 | 24.2Md USD | 13.7x | 32.3 % | 47.0 % | 24.6 % | -0.4x | 8.6 % | 59.6 % | ||
| 2 | FCX | 6.8 | 6.4 | 105Md USD | 36.2x | 11.6 % | -8.5 % | 10.4 % | 0.8x | 1.7 % | 67.3 % | ||
| 3 | KGH | 6.7 | 7.7 | 17.6Md USD | 8.0x | 19.6 % | 54.4 % | 21.3 % | 1.0x | 3.5 % | 86.3 % | ||
| 4 | LUN | 6.6 | 7.6 | 21.1Md USD | 14.4x | 31.6 % | 34.8 % | 20.0 % | 0.1x | 4.7 % | 62.6 % | ||
| 5 | ANTO | 6.5 | 6.2 | 49.1Md USD | 30.2x | 17.8 % | 26.4 % | 9.6 % | 0.5x | 0.1 % | 32.8 % | ||
| 6 | 358 | 6.4 | 6.3 | 19.0Md USD | 8.5x | 2.0 % | 5.4 % | 12.2 % | 1.8x | -4.5 % | -1.9 % | ||
| 7 | SCCO | 6.2 | 7.3 | 175Md USD | 31.1x | 35.9 % | 40.6 % | 29.4 % | 0.3x | 2.9 % | 64.3 % | ||
| 8 | AMMN | 5.1 | 5.1 | 17.9Md USD | 20.3x | 24.2 % | 632.7 % | 8.2 % | 5.9x | 0.9 % | -42.7 % | ||
| 9 | FM | 3.5 | 1.7 | 22.8Md USD | Not meaningful (loss) | -1.4 % | 24.1 % | -0.4 % | 3.0x | 0.3 % | 16.4 % |
